Monday, January 2, 2012

2011-12 Wild Card Weekend Predictions


Here are the Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate predictions for this year's first playoff weekend:

Prediction
CIN (9-7-0)  @ HOU (10-6-0) Pred: HOU 
DET (10-6-0) @ NO  (13-3-0) Pred: NO  
ATL (10-6-0) @ NYG (9-7-0)  Pred: ATL 
PIT (12-4-0) @ DEN (8-8-0)  Pred: PIT 

Sunday, January 1, 2012

2011 Week 17 Results (End of Regular Season)

The Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate closes out the season with a bang, notching another 75% success rate in predicting game winners. For the season, the ITP predicted the winner correctly in 166 out of 256 games, or 64.8%. That's pretty good for a formula that requires no knowledge except the teams playing, their records, and in some cases the home team. Here's the week's breakdown:


Wk Corr  Wk Inc  Wk Pct    Cum Corr  Cum Inc  Cum Pct
     12       4   75.0%         166       90    64.8%



Prediction / Result
CAR (6-9-0)  @ NO  (12-3-0) Pred: NO  Act: NO  +
BUF (6-9-0)  @ NE  (12-3-0) Pred: NE  Act: NE  +
CHI (7-8-0)  @ MIN (3-12-0) Pred: CHI Act: CHI +
NYJ (8-7-0)  @ MIA (5-10-0) Pred: NYJ Act: MIA -
SF  (12-3-0) @ STL (2-13-0) Pred: SF  Act: SF  +
DET (10-5-0) @ GB  (14-1-0) Pred: GB  Act: GB  +
TB  (4-11-0) @ ATL (9-6-0)  Pred: ATL Act: ATL +
BAL (11-4-0) @ CIN (9-6-0)  Pred: BAL Act: BAL +
PIT (11-4-0) @ CLE (4-11-0) Pred: PIT Act: PIT +
DAL (8-7-0)  @ NYG (8-7-0)  Pred: NYG Act: NYG +
WAS (5-10-0) @ PHI (7-8-0)  Pred: PHI Act: PHI +
IND (2-13-0) @ JAC (4-11-0) Pred: JAC Act: JAC +
TEN (8-7-0)  @ HOU (10-5-0) Pred: HOU Act: TEN -
SEA (7-8-0)  @ ARI (7-8-0)  Pred: ARI Act: ARI +
KC  (6-9-0)  @ DEN (8-7-0)  Pred: DEN Act: KC  -
SD  (7-8-0)  @ OAK (8-7-0)  Pred: OAK Act: SD  -


Wildcard weekend predictions to follow.