2011-12 Wild Card Weekend Predictions

Here are the Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate predictions for this year's first playoff weekend:

Prediction
CIN (9-7-0)  @ HOU (10-6-0) Pred: HOU 
DET (10-6-0) @ NO  (13-3-0) Pred: NO  
ATL (10-6-0) @ NYG (9-7-0)  Pred: ATL 
PIT (12-4-0) @ DEN (8-8-0)  Pred: PIT 

2011 Week 17 Results (End of Regular Season)

The Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate closes out the season with a bang, notching another 75% success rate in predicting game winners. For the season, the ITP predicted the winner correctly in 166 out of 256 games, or 64.8%. That's pretty good for a formula that requires no knowledge except the teams playing, their records, and in some cases the home team. Here's the week's breakdown:


Wk Corr  Wk Inc  Wk Pct    Cum Corr  Cum Inc  Cum Pct
     12       4   75.0%         166       90    64.8%



Prediction / Result
CAR (6-9-0)  @ NO  (12-3-0) Pred: NO  Act: NO  +
BUF (6-9-0)  @ NE  (12-3-0) Pred: NE  Act: NE  +
CHI (7-8-0)  @ MIN (3-12-0) Pred: CHI Act: CHI +
NYJ (8-7-0)  @ MIA (5-10-0) Pred: NYJ Act: MIA -
SF  (12-3-0) @ STL (2-13-0) Pred: SF  Act: SF  +
DET (10-5-0) @ GB  (14-1-0) Pred: GB  Act: GB  +
TB  (4-11-0) @ ATL (9-6-0)  Pred: ATL Act: ATL +
BAL (11-4-0) @ CIN (9-6-0)  Pred: BAL Act: BAL +
PIT (11-4-0) @ CLE (4-11-0) Pred: PIT Act: PIT +
DAL (8-7-0)  @ NYG (8-7-0)  Pred: NYG Act: NYG +
WAS (5-10-0) @ PHI (7-8-0)  Pred: PHI Act: PHI +
IND (2-13-0) @ JAC (4-11-0) Pred: JAC Act: JAC +
TEN (8-7-0)  @ HOU (10-5-0) Pred: HOU Act: TEN -
SEA (7-8-0)  @ ARI (7-8-0)  Pred: ARI Act: ARI +
KC  (6-9-0)  @ DEN (8-7-0)  Pred: DEN Act: KC  -
SD  (7-8-0)  @ OAK (8-7-0)  Pred: OAK Act: SD  -


Wildcard weekend predictions to follow.

2011 Week 17 Predictions

Prediction
CAR (6-9-0)  @ NO  (12-3-0) Pred: NO
BUF (6-9-0)  @ NE  (12-3-0) Pred: NE
CHI (7-8-0)  @ MIN (3-12-0) Pred: CHI
NYJ (8-7-0)  @ MIA (5-10-0) Pred: NYJ
SF  (12-3-0) @ STL (2-13-0) Pred: SF
DET (10-5-0) @ GB  (14-1-0) Pred: GB
TB  (4-11-0) @ ATL (9-6-0)  Pred: ATL
BAL (11-4-0) @ CIN (9-6-0)  Pred: BAL
PIT (11-4-0) @ CLE (4-11-0) Pred: PIT
DAL (8-7-0)  @ NYG (8-7-0)  Pred: NYG
WAS (5-10-0) @ PHI (7-8-0)  Pred: PHI
IND (2-13-0) @ JAC (4-11-0) Pred: JAC
TEN (8-7-0)  @ HOU (10-5-0) Pred: HOU
SEA (7-8-0)  @ ARI (7-8-0)  Pred: ARI
KC  (6-9-0)  @ DEN (8-7-0)  Pred: DEN
SD  (7-8-0)  @ OAK (8-7-0)  Pred: OAK

And, if the Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate is correct 100% of the time this weekend, here are your final standings, leading to a Green Bay victory over the Patriots in the Super Bowl, and the hapless Colts as the season's Luck-y Losers. We'll be here throughout the playoffs with weekly predictions!


AFC-E
NE   13 3
NYJ 9 7
BUF  6 10
MIA 5 11
AFC-N
PIT 12 4
BAL 12 4
CIN  9 7
CLE 4 12
AFC-S
HOU  11 5
TEN  8 8
JAC  5 11
IND 2 14
AFC-W
OAK  9 7
DEN  9 7
SD   7 9
KC   6 10

NFC-E
NYG  9 7
PHI 8 8
DAL 8 8
WAS  5 11
NFC-N
GB   15 1
DET  10 6
CHI 8 8
MIN 3 13
NFC-S
NO   13 3
ATL 10 6
CAR  6 10
TB   4 12
NFC-W
SF   13 3
ARI  8 8

SEA 7 9
STL  2 14

2011 Week 16 Results

This week, the Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate is correct more than two out of three times for the fourth time in the last five weeks, with a season average of 64.2%. Take THAT coin!


Wk Corr  Wk Inc  Wk Pct    Cum Corr  Cum Inc  Cum Pct
     11       5   68.8%         154       86    64.2%



Prediction / Result
HOU (10-4-0) @ IND (1-13-0) Pred: HOU Act: IND -
OAK (7-7-0)  @ KC  (6-8-0)  Pred: OAK Act: OAK +
JAC (4-10-0) @ TEN (7-7-0)  Pred: TEN Act: TEN +
MIA (5-9-0)  @ NE  (11-3-0) Pred: NE  Act: NE  +
ARI (7-7-0)  @ CIN (8-6-0)  Pred: CIN Act: CIN +
DEN (8-6-0)  @ BUF (5-9-0)  Pred: DEN Act: BUF -
STL (2-12-0) @ PIT (10-4-0) Pred: PIT Act: PIT +
NYG (7-7-0)  @ NYJ (8-6-0)  Pred: NYJ Act: NYG -
MIN (2-12-0) @ WAS (5-9-0)  Pred: WAS Act: MIN -
TB  (4-10-0) @ CAR (5-9-0)  Pred: CAR Act: CAR +
CLE (4-10-0) @ BAL (10-4-0) Pred: BAL Act: BAL +
SD  (7-7-0)  @ DET (9-5-0)  Pred: DET Act: DET +
PHI (6-8-0)  @ DAL (8-6-0)  Pred: DAL Act: PHI -
SF  (11-3-0) @ SEA (7-7-0)  Pred: SF  Act: SF  +
CHI (7-7-0)  @ GB  (13-1-0) Pred: GB  Act: GB  +
ATL (9-5-0)  @ NO  (11-3-0) Pred: NO  Act: NO  +

2011 Week 16 Predictions

Prediction
HOU (10-4-0) @ IND (1-13-0) Pred: HOU 
OAK (7-7-0)  @ KC  (6-8-0)  Pred: OAK 
JAC (4-10-0) @ TEN (7-7-0)  Pred: TEN 
MIA (5-9-0)  @ NE  (11-3-0) Pred: NE  
ARI (7-7-0)  @ CIN (8-6-0)  Pred: CIN 
DEN (8-6-0)  @ BUF (5-9-0)  Pred: DEN 
STL (2-12-0) @ PIT (10-4-0) Pred: PIT 
NYG (7-7-0)  @ NYJ (8-6-0)  Pred: NYJ 
MIN (2-12-0) @ WAS (5-9-0)  Pred: WAS 
TB  (4-10-0) @ CAR (5-9-0)  Pred: CAR 
CLE (4-10-0) @ BAL (10-4-0) Pred: BAL 
SD  (7-7-0)  @ DET (9-5-0)  Pred: DET 
PHI (6-8-0)  @ DAL (8-6-0)  Pred: DAL 
SF  (11-3-0) @ SEA (7-7-0)  Pred: SF  
CHI (7-7-0)  @ GB  (13-1-0) Pred: GB  
ATL (9-5-0)  @ NO  (11-3-0) Pred: NO  

And we finally have some separation in the AFC so that, if the Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate finishes the season at 100%, we can now project that the Packers will defeat the Patriots in Super Bowl 46.


AFC-E
NE   13 3
NYJ 10 6
MIA 5 11
BUF 5 11
AFC-N
PIT 12 4
BAL 12 4
CIN 9 7
CLE  4 12
AFC-S
HOU  12 4
TEN 8 8
JAC  5 11
IND  1 15
AFC-W
DEN  10 6
OAK  9 7
SD   7 9
KC   6 10


NFC-E
DAL  10 6
PHI 7 9
NYG 7 9
WAS 6 10
NFC-N
GB   15 1
CHI 8 8
DET  10 6
MIN 2 14
NFC-S
NO   13 3
ATL 10 6
CAR  6 10
TB   4 12
NFC-W
SF   13 3

ARI  8 8
SEA 7 9
STL  2 14

2011 Week 15 Results

After four weeks at or above 75%, the Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate ties the coin this week.


Wk Corr  Wk Inc  Wk Pct    Cum Corr  Cum Inc  Cum Pct
      8       8   50.0%         143       81    63.8%



Prediction / Result
JAC (4-9-0)  @ ATL (8-5-0)  Pred: ATL Act: ATL +
DAL (7-6-0)  @ TB  (4-9-0)  Pred: DAL Act: DAL +
CAR (4-9-0)  @ HOU (10-3-0) Pred: HOU Act: CAR -
WAS (4-9-0)  @ NYG (7-6-0)  Pred: NYG Act: WAS -
MIA (4-9-0)  @ BUF (5-8-0)  Pred: BUF Act: MIA -
SEA (6-7-0)  @ CHI (7-6-0)  Pred: CHI Act: SEA -
NO  (10-3-0) @ MIN (2-11-0) Pred: NO  Act: NO  +
CIN (7-6-0)  @ STL (2-11-0) Pred: CIN Act: CIN +
TEN (7-6-0)  @ IND (0-13-0) Pred: TEN Act: IND -
GB  (13-0-0) @ KC  (5-8-0)  Pred: GB  Act: KC  -
DET (8-5-0)  @ OAK (7-6-0)  Pred: DET Act: DET +
NE  (10-3-0) @ DEN (8-5-0)  Pred: NE  Act: NE  +
NYJ (8-5-0)  @ PHI (5-8-0)  Pred: NYJ Act: PHI -
CLE (4-9-0)  @ ARI (6-7-0)  Pred: ARI Act: ARI +
BAL (10-3-0) @ SD  (6-7-0)  Pred: BAL Act: SD  -
PIT (10-3-0) @ SF  (10-3-0) Pred: SF  Act: SF  +

2011 Week 15 Predictions

Prediction
JAC (4-9-0)  @ ATL (8-5-0)  Pred: ATL 
DAL (7-6-0)  @ TB  (4-9-0)  Pred: DAL 
CAR (4-9-0)  @ HOU (10-3-0) Pred: HOU 
WAS (4-9-0)  @ NYG (7-6-0)  Pred: NYG 
MIA (4-9-0)  @ BUF (5-8-0)  Pred: BUF 
SEA (6-7-0)  @ CHI (7-6-0)  Pred: CHI 
NO  (10-3-0) @ MIN (2-11-0) Pred: NO  
CIN (7-6-0)  @ STL (2-11-0) Pred: CIN 
TEN (7-6-0)  @ IND (0-13-0) Pred: TEN 
GB  (13-0-0) @ KC  (5-8-0)  Pred: GB  
DET (8-5-0)  @ OAK (7-6-0)  Pred: DET 
NE  (10-3-0) @ DEN (8-5-0)  Pred: NE  
NYJ (8-5-0)  @ PHI (5-8-0)  Pred: NYJ 
CLE (4-9-0)  @ ARI (6-7-0)  Pred: ARI 
BAL (10-3-0) @ SD  (6-7-0)  Pred: BAL 
PIT (10-3-0) @ SF  (10-3-0) Pred: SF  


And if the season plays out as the Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate predicts, here are your final standings, with Green Bay still your Super Bowl winner:



AFC-E
NE   13 3
NYJ 11 5

BUF  6 10
MIA 4 12
AFC-N

BAL  13 3
PIT 12 4

CIN  9 7
CLE 4 12
AFC-S

HOU  13 3


TEN 9 7

JAC  5 11
IND  0 16
AFC-W

DEN  10 6
OAK  9 7
SD   6 10
KC   5 11

NFC-E

DAL  10 6
NYG  8 8
PHI 6 10
WAS 5 11
NFC-N

GB   16 0
DET  10 6
CHI 9 7
MIN 2 14
NFC-S

NO   13 3
ATL 10 6

CAR  5 11
TB   4 12
NFC-W

SF   13 3


ARI  8 8

SEA 6 10
STL  2 14