Tuesday, November 29, 2011

2011 Week 13 Predictions


Prediction
PHI (4-7-0)  @ SEA (4-7-0)  Pred: SEA 
CAR (3-8-0)  @ TB  (4-7-0)  Pred: TB  
CIN (7-4-0)  @ PIT (8-3-0)  Pred: PIT 
ATL (7-4-0)  @ HOU (8-3-0)  Pred: HOU 
NYJ (6-5-0)  @ WAS (4-7-0)  Pred: NYJ 
DET (7-4-0)  @ NO  (8-3-0)  Pred: NO  
OAK (7-4-0)  @ MIA (3-8-0)  Pred: OAK 
TEN (6-5-0)  @ BUF (5-6-0)  Pred: TEN 
KC  (4-7-0)  @ CHI (7-4-0)  Pred: CHI 
BAL (8-3-0)  @ CLE (4-7-0)  Pred: BAL 
DEN (6-5-0)  @ MIN (2-9-0)  Pred: DEN 
DAL (7-4-0)  @ ARI (4-7-0)  Pred: DAL 
GB  (11-0-0) @ NYG (6-5-0)  Pred: GB  
STL (2-9-0)  @ SF  (9-2-0)  Pred: SF  
IND (0-11-0) @ NE  (8-3-0)  Pred: NE  
SD  (4-7-0)  @ JAC (3-8-0)  Pred: SD

And if the ITP is correct 100% of the time the rest of the season, here are your final standings. The Super Bowl is still Green Bay's to lose, but three teams are now in contention for the AFC berth, New England, Baltimore, and Houston. Home field advantage will determine who loses to the Packers!


AFC-E
NE   13 3
NYJ 11 5
BUF  6 10
MIA 3 13
AFC-N
BAL  13 3
PIT 12 4
CIN  9 7
CLE 4 12
AFC-S
HOU  13 3
TEN  9 7
JAC 4 12
IND  0 16
AFC-W
OAK  11 5
DEN  9 7
SD   6 10
KC   4 12


NFC-E
DAL  12 4
NYG  7 9
PHI 6 10
WAS 5 11
NFC-N
GB   16 0
CHI 11 5
DET 9 7
MIN  2 14
NFC-S
NO   13 3
ATL 10 6
TB   7 9
CAR 3 13
NFC-W
SF   14 2
SEA  7 9
ARI  5 11
STL 2 14


2011 Week 12 Results

Just three misses for the ITP this week, making two strong weeks in a row and an overall season record that now exceeds 5 in 8.


Wk Corr  Wk Inc  Wk Pct    Cum Corr  Cum Inc  Cum Pct
     13       3   81.3%         111       65    63.1%



Prediction / Result
GB  (10-0-0) @ DET (7-3-0)  Pred: GB  Act: GB  +
MIA (3-7-0)  @ DAL (6-4-0)  Pred: DAL Act: DAL +
SF  (9-1-0)  @ BAL (7-3-0)  Pred: SF  Act: BAL -
HOU (7-3-0)  @ JAC (3-7-0)  Pred: HOU Act: HOU +
BUF (5-5-0)  @ NYJ (5-5-0)  Pred: NYJ Act: NYJ +
CLE (4-6-0)  @ CIN (6-4-0)  Pred: CIN Act: CIN +
MIN (2-8-0)  @ ATL (6-4-0)  Pred: ATL Act: ATL +
ARI (3-7-0)  @ STL (2-8-0)  Pred: ARI Act: ARI +
CAR (2-8-0)  @ IND (0-10-0) Pred: CAR Act: CAR +
TB  (4-6-0)  @ TEN (5-5-0)  Pred: TEN Act: TEN +
CHI (7-3-0)  @ OAK (6-4-0)  Pred: CHI Act: OAK -
WAS (3-7-0)  @ SEA (4-6-0)  Pred: SEA Act: WAS -
DEN (5-5-0)  @ SD  (4-6-0)  Pred: DEN Act: DEN +
NE  (7-3-0)  @ PHI (4-6-0)  Pred: NE  Act: NE  +
PIT (7-3-0)  @ KC  (4-6-0)  Pred: PIT Act: PIT +
NYG (6-4-0)  @ NO  (7-3-0)  Pred: NO  Act: NO  +

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

2011 Week 12 Predictions


Prediction
GB  (10-0-0) @ DET (7-3-0)  Pred: GB  
MIA (3-7-0)  @ DAL (6-4-0)  Pred: DAL 
SF  (9-1-0)  @ BAL (7-3-0)  Pred: SF  
HOU (7-3-0)  @ JAC (3-7-0)  Pred: HOU 
BUF (5-5-0)  @ NYJ (5-5-0)  Pred: NYJ 
CLE (4-6-0)  @ CIN (6-4-0)  Pred: CIN 
MIN (2-8-0)  @ ATL (6-4-0)  Pred: ATL 
ARI (3-7-0)  @ STL (2-8-0)  Pred: ARI 
CAR (2-8-0)  @ IND (0-10-0) Pred: CAR 
TB  (4-6-0)  @ TEN (5-5-0)  Pred: TEN 
CHI (7-3-0)  @ OAK (6-4-0)  Pred: CHI 
WAS (3-7-0)  @ SEA (4-6-0)  Pred: SEA 
DEN (5-5-0)  @ SD  (4-6-0)  Pred: DEN 
NE  (7-3-0)  @ PHI (4-6-0)  Pred: NE  
PIT (7-3-0)  @ KC  (4-6-0)  Pred: PIT 
NYG (6-4-0)  @ NO  (7-3-0)  Pred: NO  

And if the ITP is 100% accurate the rest of the season, the Packers beat either New England or Houston:


AFC-E
NE   13 3
NYJ 11 5
BUF  6 10
MIA 3 13
AFC-N
PIT 12 4
BAL 12 4
CIN  9 7
CLE 4 12
AFC-S
HOU  13 3
TEN  9 7
JAC 4 12
IND  0 16
AFC-W
OAK  9 7
DEN  9 7
SD   6 10
KC   4 12


NFC-E
DAL  12 4
NYG  7 9
PHI 6 10
WAS 4 12
NFC-N
GB   16 0
CHI 12 4
DET  10 6
MIN 2 14
NFC-S
NO   13 3
ATL 10 6
TB   7 9
CAR 3 13
NFC-W
SF   15 1
SEA 8 8
ARI 5 11

STL  2 14



2011 Week 11 Results


ITP is better this week than it was bad last week!


Wk Corr  Wk Inc  Wk Pct  Cum Corr  Cum Inc  Cum Pct
     11       3   78.6%        98       62    61.3%



Prediction / Result
NYJ (5-4-0)  @ DEN (4-5-0)  Pred: NYJ Act: DEN -
TB  (4-5-0)  @ GB  (9-0-0)  Pred: GB  Act: GB  +
CAR (2-7-0)  @ DET (6-3-0)  Pred: DET Act: DET +
JAC (3-6-0)  @ CLE (3-6-0)  Pred: CLE Act: CLE +
TEN (5-4-0)  @ ATL (5-4-0)  Pred: ATL Act: ATL +
OAK (5-4-0)  @ MIN (2-7-0)  Pred: OAK Act: OAK +
BUF (5-4-0)  @ MIA (2-7-0)  Pred: BUF Act: MIA -
DAL (5-4-0)  @ WAS (3-6-0)  Pred: DAL Act: DAL +
CIN (6-3-0)  @ BAL (6-3-0)  Pred: BAL Act: BAL +
ARI (3-6-0)  @ SF  (8-1-0)  Pred: SF  Act: SF  +
SEA (3-6-0)  @ STL (2-7-0)  Pred: SEA Act: SEA +
SD  (4-5-0)  @ CHI (6-3-0)  Pred: CHI Act: CHI +
PHI (3-6-0)  @ NYG (6-3-0)  Pred: NYG Act: PHI -
KC  (4-5-0)  @ NE  (6-3-0)  Pred: NE  Act: NE  +

Monday, November 14, 2011

2011 Week 11 Predictions


Prediction
NYJ (5-4-0)  @ DEN (4-5-0)  Pred: NYJ 
TB  (4-5-0)  @ GB  (9-0-0)  Pred: GB  
CAR (2-7-0)  @ DET (6-3-0)  Pred: DET 
JAC (3-6-0)  @ CLE (3-6-0)  Pred: CLE 
TEN (5-4-0)  @ ATL (5-4-0)  Pred: ATL 
OAK (5-4-0)  @ MIN (2-7-0)  Pred: OAK 
BUF (5-4-0)  @ MIA (2-7-0)  Pred: BUF 
DAL (5-4-0)  @ WAS (3-6-0)  Pred: DAL 
CIN (6-3-0)  @ BAL (6-3-0)  Pred: BAL 
ARI (3-6-0)  @ SF  (8-1-0)  Pred: SF  
SEA (3-6-0)  @ STL (2-7-0)  Pred: SEA 
SD  (4-5-0)  @ CHI (6-3-0)  Pred: CHI 
PHI (3-6-0)  @ NYG (6-3-0)  Pred: NYG 
KC  (4-5-0)  @ NE  (6-3-0)  Pred: NE  

And if the ITP is correct 100% of the time the rest of the season, the Super Bowl is Green Bay's (not that that's a bold prediction!) and the Colts get Andrew Luck:



AFC-E
NE   13 3
NYJ 12 4
BUF  10 6
MIA 2 14
AFC-N
PIT 12 4
BAL 12 4
CIN  9 7
CLE 4 12
AFC-S
HOU  13 3
TEN  8 8
JAC  4 12
IND 0 16
AFC-W
OAK  9 7
DEN 6 10

SD   6 10
KC   4 12


NFC-E
DAL  12 4
NYG 8 8
PHI  5 11
WAS 4 12
NFC-N
GB   16 0
CHI 12 4
DET  10 6
MIN 2 14
NFC-S
NO   13 3
ATL 10 6
TB   7 9
CAR 3 13
NFC-W
SF   15 1
SEA 8 8
ARI 5 11
STL  2 14

2011 Week 10 Results


Assuming the Vikings don't make up 24 points in the 4th quarter, ITP ends the week with only it's second sub-50% performance of the season. 


Wk Corr  Wk Inc  Wk Pct    Cum Corr  Cum Inc  Cum Pct
      6      10   37.5%          87       59    59.6%



Prediction / Result
OAK (4-4-0)  @ SD  (4-4-0)  Pred: SD  Act: OAK -
ARI (2-6-0)  @ PHI (3-5-0)  Pred: PHI Act: ARI -
TEN (4-4-0)  @ CAR (2-6-0)  Pred: TEN Act: TEN +
HOU (6-3-0)  @ TB  (4-4-0)  Pred: HOU Act: HOU +
WAS (3-5-0)  @ MIA (1-7-0)  Pred: WAS Act: MIA -
JAC (2-6-0)  @ IND (0-9-0)  Pred: JAC Act: JAC +
DEN (3-5-0)  @ KC  (4-4-0)  Pred: KC  Act: DEN -
BUF (5-3-0)  @ DAL (4-4-0)  Pred: BUF Act: DAL -
DET (6-2-0)  @ CHI (5-3-0)  Pred: DET Act: CHI -
NO  (6-3-0)  @ ATL (5-3-0)  Pred: NO  Act: NO  +
STL (1-7-0)  @ CLE (3-5-0)  Pred: CLE Act: STL -
PIT (6-3-0)  @ CIN (6-2-0)  Pred: CIN Act: PIT -
BAL (6-2-0)  @ SEA (2-6-0)  Pred: BAL Act: SEA -
NYG (6-2-0)  @ SF  (7-1-0)  Pred: SF  Act: SF  +
NE  (5-3-0)  @ NYJ (5-3-0)  Pred: NYJ Act: NE  -
MIN (2-6-0)  @ GB  (8-0-0)  Pred: GB  Act: GB  +

Tuesday, November 8, 2011

2011 Week 10 Predictions


Prediction
OAK (4-4-0)  @ SD  (4-4-0)  Pred: SD  
ARI (2-6-0)  @ PHI (3-5-0)  Pred: PHI 
TEN (4-4-0)  @ CAR (2-6-0)  Pred: TEN 
HOU (6-3-0)  @ TB  (4-4-0)  Pred: HOU 
WAS (3-5-0)  @ MIA (1-7-0)  Pred: WAS 
JAC (2-6-0)  @ IND (0-9-0)  Pred: JAC 
DEN (3-5-0)  @ KC  (4-4-0)  Pred: KC  
BUF (5-3-0)  @ DAL (4-4-0)  Pred: BUF 
DET (6-2-0)  @ CHI (5-3-0)  Pred: DET 
NO  (6-3-0)  @ ATL (5-3-0)  Pred: NO  
STL (1-7-0)  @ CLE (3-5-0)  Pred: CLE 
PIT (6-3-0)  @ CIN (6-2-0)  Pred: CIN 
BAL (6-2-0)  @ SEA (2-6-0)  Pred: BAL 
NYG (6-2-0)  @ SF  (7-1-0)  Pred: SF  
NE  (5-3-0)  @ NYJ (5-3-0)  Pred: NYJ 
MIN (2-6-0)  @ GB  (8-0-0)  Pred: GB  

And if ITP is 100% accurate through the rest of the season, the Super Bowl will feature the Packers winning their second in a row over the ... the Bengals?? You heard it hear first!


AFC-E
NYJ  13 3
NE   12 4
BUF  11 5
MIA 1 15
AFC-N
CIN  13 3
BAL  12 4
PIT 10 6
CLE 6 10
AFC-S
HOU  12 4
TEN  8 8
JAC  4 12
IND 0 16
AFC-W
OAK  8 8
SD   7 9
KC   6 10
DEN 4 12


NFC-E
NYG  10 6
WAS  8 8
DAL  7 9
PHI 6 10
NFC-N
GB   16 0
CHI 11 5
DET  11 5
MIN 2 14
NFC-S
NO   13 3
ATL 10 6
TB   8 8
CAR 3 13
NFC-W
SF   15 1
SEA  5 11
ARI  3 13
STL 1 15


2011 Week 9 Results

Keeping pace above 60%


Wk Corr  Wk Inc Wk Pctn   Cum Corr  Cum Inc  Cum Pct
      9       5   64.3%         81       49    62.3%



Prediction / Result
MIA (0-7-0)  @ KC  (4-3-0)  Pred: KC  Act: MIA -
ATL (4-3-0)  @ IND (0-8-0)  Pred: ATL Act: ATL +
TB  (4-3-0)  @ NO  (5-3-0)  Pred: NO  Act: NO  +
NYJ (4-3-0)  @ BUF (5-2-0)  Pred: BUF Act: NYJ -
SEA (2-5-0)  @ DAL (3-4-0)  Pred: DAL Act: DAL +
CLE (3-4-0)  @ HOU (5-3-0)  Pred: HOU Act: HOU +
SF  (6-1-0)  @ WAS (3-4-0)  Pred: SF  Act: SF  +
CIN (5-2-0)  @ TEN (4-3-0)  Pred: CIN Act: CIN +
DEN (2-5-0)  @ OAK (4-3-0)  Pred: OAK Act: DEN -
NYG (5-2-0)  @ NE  (5-2-0)  Pred: NE  Act: NYG -
STL (1-6-0)  @ ARI (1-6-0)  Pred: ARI Act: ARI +
GB  (7-0-0)  @ SD  (4-3-0)  Pred: GB  Act: GB  +
BAL (5-2-0)  @ PIT (6-2-0)  Pred: PIT Act: BAL -
CHI (4-3-0)  @ PHI (3-4-0)  Pred: CHI Act: CHI +